With the current 255 points and a 99 points lead over Sergio Pérez, and a assuming maximum points to both drives as first and second.

Max Verstappen will have a 148 point lead after Qatar Grand Prix, and only 146 maximum points reaming for the last 5 laps.

But based on the average point of Sergio Pérez, with 11 points for the last 5 rounds, it will be secured but round 16, Japanese Grand Prix.

going in Remaing Max Sergio Pérez avg, 11 points delta Sergio Pérez 18 + 7 spint delta
Hungarian Grand Prix 344 255 156 99 156 99
Belgian Grand Prix 318 281 167 114 174 107
Dutch Grand Prix 284 315 178 137 199 116
Italian Grand Prix 258 341 189 152 217 124
Singapore Grand Prix 232 367 200 167 235 132
Japanese Grand Prix 206 393 211 182 253 140
Qatar Grand Prix 180 419 222 197 271 148
United States Grand Prix 146 453 233 220 296 157
Mexico City Grand Prix 112 487 244 243 321 166
São Paulo Grand Prix 86 513 255 258 339 174
Las Vegas Grand Prix 52 547 266 281 364 183
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix 26 573 277 296 382 191
599 288 311 400 199