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It’s 2030. The conscription age has been increased to 65, and the 50 year old cohort is now in the lotto for the monthly draft call-ups.
The Strait of Hormuz (called the Strait of Trump) is still contested, as is the Persian Gulf (now called the Persian Gulf of America). Kharg Island is a battered pile of rubble, but thousands of casualties a day, mostly from FPV drone strikes, fail to move the needle.
The backlash in the US is high but since the midterms and 2028 election were cancelled, dissent is starting to take a more [ Removed by Reddit ] approach.
A few centuries pass. It is 2236, and America is still bombing the Middle East. Mecha-Trump still doesn’t have full control over the Strait of Trump, which he blames is just a hoax perpetrated by Biden, and asserts that Total Victory has been achieved, while sending another 200k conscripts into Iran again.
With you until the last paragraph, but if things drag on like this for that long and we haven’t collapsed we’ll have been balkanized into the neighboring states of Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, and Google.
I think it’s that or we nuke ourselves into oblivion as a planet.
Hehe its Colonel, for future reference.
Did it on porpuse
A Col Len Nel?
It’s pronounced ker-nel.
I have no idea why.I bet the Fr*nch are behind this!
A Kernel? Like the Linux Kernel? Or like Corn?
🤣
(Why is English so weird 😭)
In this case, French.
If the goal is to destabilize the regime until it collapses and then we fund a friendly government into power, it might be doable if we can block their oil exports. But we just lifted sanctions on their oil, so they’ll never run out of money. China may be making shaheds now, so even if we bomb all of Iran’s military manufacturing infrastructure, they can probably keep buying weapons forever.
Iran is very mountainous. This restricts the use of our biggest and best machines of war and gives them places to hide things. Iran is also big geographically and demographically, much larger than Iraq or Afghanistan. It’s also important to note that while the regime is not loved by many, they ALL really hate us. The regime is evil, but everyone west of Greece or so is a fucking demon to them. They have decent historical reasons to feel this way.
Occupying them and achieving complete surrender is probably not going to happen, and if we try for it, it’ll cost massive shitloads of money we don’t have and probably also a lot of lives. The best thing that can happen is we bail and try to say we won. The worst is the president nukes them and Russia nukes us back on their behalf. What I think is most likely is a collapse in the dollar and a withdrawal afterwards.
Look at the war between Ukraine and Russia. That’s your answer
Probably a very long time if China is advising Iran
