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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • The total combat losses of the enemy from 24.02.22 to 24.02.26

    These official numbers are what is referred to when saying we are entering the 5th year.
    Yes there were problems before that, that could also be labelled war, but there’s a huge difference between before the 24.02.2022 and after. With a thousand casualties every day for 4 years.

    I’m not saying you are wrong, but you are kind of changing the subject.
    Donbas was not an existential problem for Ukraine, the full scale invasion is.


  • entire russian units took part in the invasion

    Still it wasn’t considered outright war between Ukraine and Russia at the time, more like skirmishes. Everybody knows that Russia meddled heavily.
    You can compare it to the border dispute between India and China, where there also is fighting, although it is only with primitive weapons like canes, there are casualties.
    China and India is not considered to be at war, but they very definitely have a very serious border dispute over a piece of land the British gave to China when India was a British colony.







  • You have lots of money spent on tanks, shells, bombs, military benefits and other things — no long-lasting value, nothing that works on what we call development

    This is key IMO! If you look past the official numbers, to see what happens in reality, it is very obvious that the Russian economy is shrinking dramatically. The war may be as much as 35% of the total Russian economy. Military was probably less than 10% before the war.
    So even if the total economy is equal (it is shrinking), it means Russians have lost 25% for everything else, like hospitals, roads, private economy etc.
    This will have an impact on the Russian economy for decades of lower investment and lower income for ordinary Russians.
    Russia today is clearly way poorer than they were 4 years ago.

    He (Putin) has no vision for the future but only a vision for the past,

    Spot on.






  • No game theory account for such scenarios too. The ones not playing by the rules are normally psychopaths and the like, so game theory is about handling that type of scenario when the normal rules no longer apply. It’s not just about simple greed, people brake the rules for various reasons. Psychopaths like Trump and the White House, simply feel more entitled, and they need to be shown very clearly that it will not be accepted.
    We absolutely need to respond to Trump according to game theory, because you can’t control him by throwing him a cookie from time to time, he will always come back for more until he is stopped. The exact same as with Putin, despite they are different psychologies.

    Trump is a bully because he thinks he can get away with it. When he is shown he can’t, he is most likely a coward if he think there are consequences. This is also how he gets the TACO nickname.


  • The EU still doesn’t convince me that we are not on the same trajectory

    It’s OK to be vigilant, but it shouldn’t stop us from doing something that is necessary. And as I see it, it is necessary to put Hungary and Slovakia on pause.
    Because they are actively working against clear EU interests, and they are working against democracy. And that is decidedly against the ideals of EU, they are also working against human rights which is also contrary to the regulation of EU.
    If this was the USA, the Hungarian and Slovakian governments could probably be charged with treason!
    That member countries work withing EU regulation which include human rights is a requirement! Not an option!
    This is way way more than just political disagreement, Slovakia and Hungary are working openly for the enemy.

    None of us want EU to become a totalitarian shithole, but failing to observe and uphold the rules, is EXACTLY what caused it for USA.
    So as I see it, you are viewing this whole scenario upside down. Failing to act against totalitarianism rising in EU like in Hungary, is what will increase the risk of EU becoming more totalitarian. We need to act against it, and your slippery slope argument, that upholding Hungary to what they agreed to when becoming members, has no basis in the political facts.

    However warning against totalitarianism is a VERY valid warning. You just seem to confuse how to stop it, with making it worse.