• sweng@programming.dev
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    4 months ago

    The article seems to use https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/06/ukraine-public-opinion-russia-war?lang=en as one of the sources suggesting support for negotiations is rising. But it seems to come to a completely different conclusion, e.g.

    But further analysis and more targeted questioning shows that support for negotiations is largely theoretical. The share of Ukrainians who preferred seeking a compromise to end the war through negotiations fell from 43 percent in the yes or no question to 26 percent when respondents were asked to choose between negotiating with Russia and continuing to fight. Most Ukrainians who expressed openness to negotiate appeared to envision a scenario in which Kyiv was in a favorable enough position to demand the full withdrawal of Russian troops from Ukrainian territory, the prosecution of Russian officials for war crimes, reparations, and other conditions that are nonstarters for the Kremlin.

    Interesting how the article seems to completely ignore this.

    • filoria@lemmy.ml
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      4 months ago

      US journalism is unreliable? Say it isn’t so…

      The entire principle of US journalism is to fill the zone with shit and have everyone sift through the shit to find their own independent nugget of truth.

      • sweng@programming.dev
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        4 months ago

        Intetesting how the article still uses the claim from the source, without commenting at all why this particular figure that supports the narrative is correct, but the other, that does not support it, is incorrect? Why link to a source you know can’t be trusted? Why not simply use a reliable source instead?

      • Skua@kbin.earth
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        4 months ago

        The “deal” requires Ukraine to cede a colossal amount of territory before negotiations even begin. Even if the Ukrainian leadership was willing to give up all of that for peace, doing so here would not actually even buy them peace, only a start to negotiations that could collapse at any time. That’s about as diplomatic an offer as Ukraine saying “pre-2014 borders and then we can talk.”

      • sweng@programming.dev
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        4 months ago

        From one of the sources cited in the article: https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/06/ukraine-public-opinion-russia-war?lang=en

        Many Ukrainians may be open to negotiations in theory, but they overwhelmingly did not trust Russia to negotiate in good faith. Most Ukrainians (86 percent) believed that there is a medium or high risk that Russia will attack again even if there is a signed peace treaty, and even more (91 percent) believed that Russia’s motive to enter negotiations is to take time to prepare for a new attack. Even among those who supported negotiations with Russia, only 21 percent believed that signing a peace treaty would help Ukraine deter future Russian aggression.

        Putin’s problem is he burned all the trust the world had in him when he attacked Ukraine after saying he would not. If he is truly serious about peace, he first needs to rebuild that trust.

        • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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          4 months ago

          The reality is that Russia is winning the war, and every day that goes by puts Ukraine and its western sponsors in a worse position. The terms will only get worse from here on out.

          • sweng@programming.dev
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            4 months ago

            Even if it were true, it has nothing to do with the fact that Putin has said he is open for negotiations, while doing absolutely nothing to actually get people to negotiate with him.

            If he wants to negotiate, he needs to work on building trust, so he has someone to negotiate with. If he does not want to negotiate, then he should just say so. What Putin does now just makes people not take him seriously. You could practically hear the global eye-rolling when he made his latest proposal.

            • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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              4 months ago

              I don’t think you understand what’s happening here. Either the west decides to start negotiating or there won’t be an Ukraine left. Those are the options on the table.

              • o_d [he/him]@lemmygrad.ml
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                4 months ago

                These libs are so used to having stopped caring about a war 8 years before it’s lost that they don’t even recognize what losing a war looks like. They think they can copium their way into Ukraine getting better terms.

                • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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                  4 months ago

                  Clearly, if they just keep repeating that Putin can end this war at any moment enough times then it will magically end.

              • sweng@programming.dev
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                4 months ago

                Right, and Putin knows that the west and Ukraine will not negotiate since they don’t trust him. So what is the point of making an offer you don’t expect to be accepted? If you don’t expect to negotiate, you are not being serious about it.

                You can not claim to be for a diplomstic solution and at the same time do nothing to actually reach it.

                Putin would rather kill millions of Ukrainians and Russians than make himself trustworthy (which could actually lead to a diplomatic solution)? What kind of person does that?

                • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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                  4 months ago

                  The west of Ukraine has a choice to work with Russia to resolve this or to wait for Russia to win militarily and dictate terms. I’m still not sure what part of this you’re struggling with.

      • muhyb@programming.dev
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        4 months ago

        What kind of logic is that? He is the one who started the war, as well as he can end it any time.

        • LarkinDePark@lemmygrad.ml
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          4 months ago

          The US started the war with the coup. This is just an open secret. Obama is on video admitting it. You’re watching too much western propaganda.

          • muhyb@programming.dev
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            4 months ago

            Like there is any difference. US invading countries overseas, Russia invading neighbouring countries. They’re both invaders.

          • muhyb@programming.dev
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            4 months ago

            You can support Putin blindly all you want but you don’t have to be warmongering. It isn’t good for any of us.

                • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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                  4 months ago

                  It’s pretty clear that everyone does not want the war to stop given that the west has rejected multiple offers to stop the war. You’re right that the war can only stop if the west stops blocking the peace process.

              • muhyb@programming.dev
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                4 months ago

                You have the mindset that will be the reason for the end of the world. You literally say “the strong can do whatever the fuck they want”, how is that not warmongering?

                • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.mlOP
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                  4 months ago

                  You literally say “the strong can do whatever the fuck they want”, how is that not warmongering?

                  It’s absolutely hilarious that you’re claiming that this hasn’t been the norm already. The west has invaded Yugoslavia, Libya, Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan just to name a few countries in recent years. The only reason you’re upset now is that it’s not your side that’s doing it.

                  The people who are going to be the reason for the world to end are always the ones who want the wars to keep going. Especially wars where the outcome is obvious to anyone with a functioning brain.

      • Draedron@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        4 months ago

        lol the “peace deal” was just russia getting what it wants. Putin can end the war at any moment by withdrawing his troops back to russia.

  • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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    4 months ago

    Itt: people praising Russian “diplomacy” .

    This is like Russia is currently mugging Ukraine, and if Ukraine just stops resisting and let’s them finish, they won’t kill them after.

    “If you’d stop defending yourself, all this violence would end!”

  • HowMany@lemmy.ml
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    4 months ago

    Yeah… it’d be a real shame for Ukraine to flatten the Kremlin with comrade putinator in it. That’s the other way to end the war.